OECD Report predicts online learning

I recently scanned the report, Education at a Glance 2012 OECD indicators and a paragraph on P485 caught my attention.

It was the only mention of online learning that I could find in the report. (There was no mention of ‘eLearning’). However, what it said is significant for many of us. Even though it is talking about education and teachers, the comment could be made about many other profession or segment of the workforce.

“Between 1998 and 2010, the proportion of secondary teachers aged 50 or older climbed from 28.8% to 34.2% on average among countries with comparable data. This increase is particularly large in Austria, Germany, Ireland, Japan, Norway, Switzerland and the United Kingdom (an increase of 8 percentage points or more). In contrast, the proportion of teachers under the age of 40 increased slightly from 36.2% to 37.5% on average among countries with available data, but decreased in seven countries, most notably in Austria, Japan and Korea, where these proportions shrank by 14 percentage points or more. In countries that stand to lose a significant number of teachers through retirement and whose school-age population remains the same or increases, governments will have to boost the appeal of teaching to upper secondary and tertiary students, expand teacher-training programmes, and, if necessary, provide alternate routes to certification for mid-career professionals intent on changing careers. Fiscal constraints – particularly those driven by pension obligations and health-care costs for retirees – are likely to result in greater pressure on governments to reduce academic offerings, increase class size, integrate more self-paced, online learning, or implement some combination of these measures (Abrams, 2011; Christensen, 2008; Peterson, 2010).“ (My highlighting)

I expect that not only governments will experience the fiscal constraints.

I met someone again last week who said their organisation does not want eLearning, but using technology to support learning cannot be avoided. The key message is – know your organisation’s needs; know the learning environment; know your learners; ensure you have the appropriate expertise and skills to develop and delivery exemplary eLearnng that is customised for you.

– Bronte


OECD (2012), Education at a Glance 2012: OECD Indicators, OECD Publishing. http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/eag-2012-en

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